Climate risk pricing

Climate risk is often mispriced. We review unpriced externalities and undertake live market analyses to enable portfolio risk managers to understand the potential impact of climate on credit pricing.

All Bond spotlight Sustainability-Linked Bonds Climate risk pricing Fossil lending Nature loss Transparency Sovereigns and central banks Portfolio analysis Quantitative research
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Exxon capital structure arbitrage/impact trade idea

21/05/2021

To reduce hydrocarbon capex and leverage up the balance sheet, buy Exxon equity, short the credit.

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Total/Equinor climate risk CDS trade: IEA update

19/05/2021

Spreads to widen further for Total/Equinor CDS trade

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Credit investors, rating agencies and climate: Exhibit 1

14/05/2021

Issuer credit ratings are vulnerable to refinancing risks.

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The oil rally and low carbon credit performance

21/04/2021

Despite the rise in oil prices, low carbon bonds outperformed higher carbon emitting ones

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Short Total. Long Equinor (and/or iTraxx ESG)

02/03/2021

A credit short on Total, versus a long on Equinor could be attractive.

An overhead photo of a road submerged by floodwater.

The bond market and the climate transition

01/11/2020

Here, we present arguments for the functionality of bond markets for the climate transition.

An overhead photo of a road submerged by floodwater.

Green Bond Risk Premiums: A Twin-Bond ULFP Approach

02/06/2020

Here, we discuss the trading volatility of green bonds vs vanilla bonds.

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